The
corporate governance debate forced for decades has created a rigorous system of
transparency, control routines and reporting requirements. Understanding the
corporate accounts and the risks in the company is no hassle and the
information you need is easy available. Corporate crime including tax fraud leads
to long term sentences and humiliation. Never, ever in modern time has
corporate defaults led to a severe financial crisis. Despite that fact the Basel
framework still regards corporate risk as something that shall be crowded out
from the banks’ balance sheets into the second engine.
The Basel
framework regards real estate collateral as a semi high risk. Since the mid 1980-ties
and the first version of Basel we have had several real estate bubbles bursting
creating huge financial meltdowns. In 1991-92 the Swedish real estate bubble almost made Sweden go bankrupt. It was avoided thanks to the country’s
small size and international limited importance and clever politicians making fast and
bold decisions. Generally speaking Sweden’s high tax rate still depend on the tax payers to mortgage
their homes for larger investments (such as a new car or a kitchen). Saving money after tax is for most Swedes impossible. In fact the whole Swedish economic system is built on creating real estate
bubbles, which is a clear systemic risk facilitated by Basel.
Globally we
are now in the largest and most devastating financial crisis since the 1930-ties again created by a real estate bubble, which the Basel framework regards as a limited
probability of happening! The first crisis 2007-09 disclosed inappropriate sovereign
risks effectively leading to countries defaulting with Iceland being the first
and who knows what PIIGS countries will follow? All of us will lose money in this
crisis and on the countries defaulting in particular. The “private investors” shall cut 50% of the
holdings it’s told. We, the people, are the private investors through our retirement funds and savings. No
one is open about who the private investors actually are. The word private
investors lead us to believe they are the rich and glorious bankers we all are
taught to hate. But eventually we – the people – will have to pay the costs –
again.
Political
governance does not at all reach the same standards as corporate governance. Far
from. Effectively any political administration can bankrupt any country and
live happily ever after. There is no transparency where the tax payers’ money is
spent. There is no percussion for financial crime in the political world. Genocide is the only thing an administration should
avoid. That may lead to a conviction in The Hague. But impoverish a whole
nation and putting the global financial system at risk is ok. The Basel
framework encourages speculation in sovereign risk! We should acknowledge the
largest financial crashes are caused by political failure. From where is the
notion that politics is low risk?
We need to
balance capital requirements in a way so they are as high for corporates as for
real estate collateral as for sovereign debt. A director of the Swedish Central
Bank recently said: “The problem is that
Greece has been able to borrow to the same low cost as Germany. No one made a country analysis [my
translation from Swedish]”. Of course this happened since it is what EMU is all
about! Blame directly the systemic risk caused by the Basel framework making
everyone regarding sovereign risk as low risk. Unfortunately the analysts put
too much faith in the political system to enforce financial discipline in the EMU. There are lots of criticism against the financial institutions for
the crisis and that’s ok. But I believe this financial crisis is created by the
political system. The lack of governance has given us incompetent, shortsighted
and populist politicians. We urgently need systems for strict political
governance or they’ll draw another disaster on us immediately after we’ve endured
and paid for this one.

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